Economics
Markets on inflation prints, rate decisions and jobs numbers turn scheduled data releases into tradable probabilities. Prices tend to sit still and then move all at once when the number lands. These guides explain how economic event contracts are written, which data source settles them, and why the exact wording of a contract matters so much.
Beginner Guide
How to Read Market-Implied Indicators
Turn prediction-market prices into probabilities or expected values, read spreads and volume as uncertainty, and avoid common traps like thin liquidity and vague questions.
August 26, 2026Market Explainer
Prediction Market Biases: Common Limits in Economic Markets
Practical guide to common prediction market biases—thin liquidity, herding, information asymmetry—and simple checks users and researchers use to judge price reliability.
August 25, 2026Beginner Guide
Inflation Expectations Markets: A Beginner's Guide
Prediction markets encode beliefs about future inflation into prices. Read how contracts, prices, and simple calculations reveal implied probabilities and expected inflation.
August 22, 2026Category Guide
Economics Prediction Markets
Prediction markets let people buy contracts that pay out if an economic event occurs. Prices show the crowd's implied probability and help reveal expectations about economic outcomes.
August 18, 2026