Weather
Weather markets settle against published measurements — a temperature at a named station, a rainfall total, a storm classification. That makes the settlement source unusually important. These guides cover how weather contracts are defined, which data feeds decide them, and how forecasts move prices in the days before resolution.
Market Explainer
Weather Prediction Market Contracts
A clear guide to weather prediction market contracts: what they are, how official measurements resolve them, a worked temperature example with real numbers, and who uses them.
August 30, 2026Market Explainer
Who Uses Weather Prediction Markets and What Decisions Do They Inform
Weather prediction markets are consulted by agriculture, energy, insurance, logistics and event planners to inform timing, hedging and operational contingency decisions.
August 27, 2026Beginner Guide
How to write clear weather market questions
Learn how to write unambiguous weather market questions: specify location, time window, units, measurement method, and fallback sources. Includes templates.
August 27, 2026Beginner Guide
How to Read Weather Market Probabilities
Learn how market prices map to probabilities and expected payouts for binary and scalar weather contracts, with clear examples and practical tips.
August 26, 2026Market Explainer
How Weather Data Feeds Influence Prediction Market Prices
Weather data feeds supply the observations and short-term forecasts that markets use to update event probabilities. Timing, resolution, and revisions in those feeds explain many price moves.
August 26, 2026Category Guide
Weather Prediction Markets
A practical guide to weather prediction markets: what they are, how prices reflect probabilities, how they resolve, and common beginner mistakes.
August 19, 2026